Swiss inflation dipped slightly last month, government data showed in the first reading on prices after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cut interest rates again last month.
Consumer prices rose by 1.3% in June compared with a year earlier, against the 1.4% rate in May and the 1.4% forecast in a Reuters poll.
It was the 12th month in succession that Swiss prices have been within the 0-2% range targeted by the SNB, which it describes as price stability.
Month on month prices remained unchanged, the Federal Statistics Office said.
While some products, including vegetables, foreign holidays and hotels, registered price increases, this was offset by cheaper air transport, petrol and diesel. Clothing and footwear were also cheaper because of retailers’ summer sales.
The SNB cut interest rates to 1.25% last month, the second cut this year, saying underlying inflationary pressure has decreased.
Inflation Forecasts
The central bank also lowered its inflation forecasts, fuelling analyst expectations of a further rate cut in September.
UBS economist Alessandro Bee expects lower inflation in the third quarter of 2024, leaving the path open for the SNB to cut rates.
“If this scenario materialises, inflation should not be a hurdle for the SNB to cut rates,” said Bee. “I think we need to see a significant surprise on the upside for the SNB to keep rates on hold.
Elsewhere, British inflation returned to its 2% target in May for the first time in nearly three years, latest data showed, but underlying price pressures remained strong, meaning the Bank of England is likely to wait longer before cutting interest rates.